Tuesday 14 February 2012

Syria in turmoil

As you know Syria is in big trouble.
Syria’s situation just prior to the start of the trouble; is as follows (based on numbers from 2010, you can imagine these figures are much worse now):
·        -unemployment rate is 9.4% and increasing
·        -unaccountable big-business endeavours
·        -habitual adoption of the Social Market Economy which harmed the middle and lower classes and threatens the stability that the regime values so much.
·        -administrative and investment environment that misallocates resources and often makes counterproductive investments
·        -continued absence of any consistent application of the rule of law in the economic sphere or any other sphere for that matter
·        -protracted political succession and consolidation crisis
·        -regional and international isolation
·        -Impending decrease in oil reserves -- in 2008 we pumped out 398000 barrel a day of oil @ around 100$ a barrel.
·        -Ongoing drought and a mismanaged water-supply ---
·        -migration of hundreds of thousands of people from the countryside to over-populated and under-serviced cities
·        -Syrian products have remained uncompetitive, both regionally and internationally, despite low labour and other input costs -- reasons for non-competitiveness are unclear ..!!!??
·        -Benefiting fully from economic opportunities are usually regime insiders or associates
·        -regime decision makers perpetuate such an environment of neglecting to set an industrial policy (or any other real effective policies) and by not imposing reciprocity for the generation of added value in the form of employment, exports and public goods.
·        -Syria has seen a 10 percent increase in poverty since 2005 –
·        -Gap between inflation and government salaries has seen a steady widening
Close to a year later; with plenty of errors, plenty of accusations, and plenty of confusion from all sides. This is how I see things ():
1.      People protest for reasons X, Y, Z
2.      Regime responds violently.
Then we start hearing that every other guy and his mother becoming an activist. They start bashing the current regime, analyze the situation and predict the future. In shorts most if not all are saying more or less: REMOVE THE REGIME AND PUT ME THERE INSTEAD
I want to know; can anyone (pro regime or pro opposition) provide detailed plans for economy revival? Detailed plans for government employees’ efficiency increase? Detailed plans to restore agriculture sector?  Detailed plan to have a dependable industrial sector?  Detailed plans to relief Damascus traffic!? Does anyone have a plan for anything at all???
Most importantly; does any one have a plan to stop this bloodshed.....other than shedding more blood?

1 comment:

Unknown said...

Sources:
http://www.mepc.org/journal/middle-east-policy-archives/political-economy-syria?print